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CFTC Commitments of Traders: Euro shorts surge

CFTC Commitments of Traders: Euro shorts surge

57 minutes ago (Adam Button)

Forex futures market speculative positioning data from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report as of the close on Tuesday, July 22 2014: EUR net short 89K vs short 63K prior JPY net short 54K vs short 63K prior GBP net long … Continue reading → »

Goldman Sachs shifts to neutral on stocks

Goldman Sachs shifts to neutral on stocks

8:28pm today (Adam Button)

Goldman Sachs is sounding an alarm on stocks with its global macro team shifting to neutral on the sector, at least over the next 3 months. “We downgrade to neutral over 3 months as a sell-off in bonds could lead … Continue reading → »

The US private economy contracted 3.3% in Q1

The US private economy contracted 3.3% in Q1

8:25pm today (Adam Button)

As bad as the 2.9% contraction in the US economy in the first quarter was, it could have been worse. The private economy shrank 3.3% and it was bolstered but a 3.2% growth pace in the Federal government. The government … Continue reading → »

It’s already the final weekend of July

It’s already the final weekend of July

8:12pm today (Adam Button)

How depressing is that? Where did the summer go? Make sure you enjoy it! Here are the weekly changes in FX: Volatility was decent this week, which is a welcome change. I suspect it will continue with the Fed and … Continue reading → »

AUD/NZD was the best trade this week

AUD/NZD was the best trade this week

7:39pm today (Adam Button)

The Australian dollar was the top performer this week while the New Zealand dollar lagged. The pair climbed 1.65%, or 178 pips from last Friday’s close. The pair stumbled in the first hours of trading but surged afterwards. The Australian … Continue reading → »

BMO now sees earlier Fed rate hike

BMO now sees earlier Fed rate hike

7:19pm today (Adam Button)

Economists at BMO have “nudged forward” their forecast for the first rate hike. They now see Yellen & Co hiking rates near the end of Q2 rather than at the start of Q3. The change is “driven by the recent … Continue reading → »

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: AUD/USD back at 0.94

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: AUD/USD back at 0.94

6:46pm today (Adam Button)

Of the past 33 trading days, AUD/USD has traded at 0.9400 in 26 of them. »

Isreal’s security cabinet has unanimously opposed Kerry’s ceasefire proposal

Isreal’s security cabinet has unanimously opposed Kerry’s ceasefire proposal

6:37pm today (Adam Button)

A government source cited by Reuters says Israel’s security cabinet has rejected a ceasefire and seeks modifications. »

Obama spokesman says sanctions having economic impact on Russia

Obama spokesman says sanctions having economic impact on Russia

6:33pm today (Adam Button)

He’s right, obviously, but consider this. Q1 Russian growth +0.9%, Q2 forecast growth +0.45% – net +1.5% annualized in H1 Q1 US growth -2.9%, Q2 forecast growth +3.0% – net 0% in H1 Sanctions are hurting Russia, what’s the US … Continue reading → »

Gold bounces after teetering yesterday

Gold bounces after teetering yesterday

6:21pm today (Adam Button)

Gold prices fell to a one-month low at $1287 yesterday but what was important was the close. Gold rebounded late in the day for a close above the 55-day moving average and the July low. It’s something I warned about … Continue reading → »

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