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Technical Analysis Reports

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JPY Momentum Slowing?

03/09/2015 09:14

The fallout from the yuan rollercoaster has not yet subsided, and FX investors are ready to dust off their coats and proceed with their usual yen shorts. After all, while it’s been brutal for th »

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EUR/USD - technically bearish!

7:43pm yesterday

On a daily basis, the EUR/USD pair is looking bearish. The prices declined rapidly after hitting the resistance at 1.1700. Amid the upcoming ECB Press Conference and the ECB main rate decision, the si »

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USD/CAD under bearish pressure!

01/09/2015 14:35

The U.S. dollar is losing its strength in front of the upcoming jobs report at the end of this week. The green money depreciated against all most all other major traded counterparts from the G10 baske »

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Will weak China data send sentiment tumbling again?

01/09/2015 08:19

Market Overview Is market sentiment taking a turn for the worse again? If it is, then it looks like weak China data could once more be the catalyst. The disappointing readings on the China Manufactur »

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EUR/AUD stays bullish in front of RBA press conference!

31/08/2015 15:43

Let’s take a look on the EUR/AUD currency pair in front of the RBA main rate decision and press conference. Last week, has been extremely volatile and the pair moved with more than 1500 pips in »

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FOMC’s Dudley improves market sentiment

27/08/2015 08:17

Market Overview Market sentiment has dramatically improved again. I discussed in my blog yesterday about what could drive the bottom in the recent selling pressure. One of the factors I discussed was »

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Dow Jones falls to lowest level in 18 Months

26/08/2015 09:35

U.S. stocks collapsed the last few days, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping more than 1,000 points, losing more than 10% since August 16. The sell-off in US equities was driven p »

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Volatility and fear still driving market sentiment

26/08/2015 08:13

Market Overview Huge volatility continues to throw markets around with traders still in fear of a China/commodity slowdown in the wake of Monday’s big sell-off. Traders are paying the economic »

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Volatility still elevated as markets unwind “Black Monday”

25/08/2015 08:15

Market Overview After a day that will go down in the record books as a “Black Monday” the dust is still settling. After hitting 1000 pints down on the day for the Dow Jones Industrial Ave »

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How is the rout on commodities impacting market sentiment?

24/08/2015 08:22

Market Overview The rout is continuing and is now beginning to get rather nasty. Huge selling pressure on Wall Street into the close on Friday has got even worse in Asia today. With concerns over a s »

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Weak China PMI driving continued safe haven flows

21/08/2015 08:16

Market Overview Market sentiment is taking a hammering and safe haven flows are on the rise. If the sharp falls on equity markets around the world yesterday were not enough to spook investors, the mu »

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FOMC minutes put pressure on the US dollar

20/08/2015 08:18

Market Overview The US dollar has come under some corrective pressure in the wake of a dovish set of FOMC meeting minutes. The suggestion in the minutes was that there needed to be more sign of infla »

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Can the DAX find another low in the support band again?

19/08/2015 08:16

Market Overview It seems as though, having been “Greece” for so long, now it is “China” as sentiment on equities again takes a decline as sharp selling pressure on Shanghai im »

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Silver Survives Another Attempt on $15.18 But For How Long?

18/08/2015 08:42

Silver surged more than 2.5% the previous week and rose above the key level of $15.00. The white metal gained for a third straight week and is in the process of recording the fourth in a row, currentl »

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US dollar slow drift higher as traders ponder their next move

18/08/2015 08:22

Market Overview European markets are struggling to put yesterday’s lackluster session behind them as they trade slightly lower again in early exchanges. The newsflow has been fairly quiet in re »

Traders see a glass half full as Greek bailout deal progresses

17/08/2015 08:30

Market Overview Although there is a consolidation that continues amongst forex major pairs, there is more of a positive mind-set this morning as a new week begins. The glass seems to be half full for »

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The key issues to ponder as markets consolidate

14/08/2015 08:17

Market Overview Markets seem to be moving into a consolidation mode early Friday morning. The news that China has so far kept to it word on not seeming to be willing to continue to devalue the yuan h »

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Another Chinese devaluation continues to hit risk appetite

12/08/2015 08:14

Market Overview So a “one off” devaluation move by the People’s Bank of China was not that at all, as for a second day in a row the PBOC has raised the midpoint of the daily fix aga »

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Chinese yuan devaluation driving dollar strength

12/08/2015 07:44

Market Overview China is again dominating trading sentiment today after a “one-off” 2% devaluation of the yuan was announced by the People’s Bank of China was announced overnight. T »

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AUD/USD Daily Outlook!

10/08/2015 13:10

The AUD/USD currency pair is traded in a rapid downtrend movement. Even though the last week, the prices entered in a light consolidation pattern, the overall downtrend scenario is still in play and w »

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After weak Chinese data hopes of stimulus hold up sentiment

10/08/2015 08:17

Market Overview There are mixed forces at work driving sentiment on Monday morning. The handover from Asia was a curious mix of disappointing data out of China (on exports and producer prices) which »

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Markets consolidating ahead of a potentially crucial Non-farm Payrolls report

07/08/2015 08:23

Market Overview It is Non-farm Payrolls day and this could be a really important Employment Situation report. The FOMC remains data dependent (at least members such as Jerome Powell are in any case) »

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Bank of England’s “Super Thursday” set to drive sterling volatility today

06/08/2015 08:19

Market Overview Markets continue to be pulled around by economic data and by the rhetoric from FOMC speakers. There have subsequently been conflicting signals in recent days (ISM manufacturing and co »

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Dollar gaining ground again after Fed’s Lockhart prods the bulls

05/08/2015 08:20

Market Overview FOMC members are garnering attention now and Dennis Lockhart’s hawkish comments have driven some direction for traders. Lockhart has historically been towards the dovish end of »

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AUD/USD surged after RBA

04/08/2015 08:17

The Australian dollar lifted-off against the US dollar early on Tuesday’s morning after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its Interest Rate decision to keep its interest rate unchanged at »

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Commodities still impacting on sentiment as RBA changes tack

04/08/2015 08:14

Market Overview Falling commodity prices are still a concern for global markets. The issue was again brought to the fore yesterday amid a series of disappointing manufacturing PMIs from the world&rsq »

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Few clues offered in FOMC statement but dollar bulls edging control

30/07/2015 08:19

Market Overview So, nothing really to go on from the FOMC then. No rate hike (as expected) but also little in the way of hints over a potential rate hike. Perhaps we could focus on the tweak “s »

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Markets looking pensive in front of the FOMC

29/07/2015 08:22

Market Overview As we move into FOMC day, the markets have become characteristically settled. This will often be seen due to the potential volatility surrounding the aftermath of the decision tonight »

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China and commodities remain a key impact on sentiment

28/07/2015 08:28

Market Overview Volatility in Asian markets has been elevated by the significant fluctuations in the Chinese Shanghai stock market. However, the big impact is coming across the commodities complex wh »

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Disappointing China PMI draining markets but drives dollar strength

24/07/2015 08:18

Market Overview Market sentiment has been hit in recent days by sharp falls in the prices of key commodities which continue to fall back to multi-year lows which  certainly does little to help t »

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Weak US corporate earnings hitting the US dollar

22/07/2015 08:19

Market Overview The dollar bulls had a bit of a wobble yesterday and this has induces a bit of corrective pressure near term for the greenback. The dollar weakness was generated by some weaker than e »

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Dow Jones Industrial facing solid resistance!

21/07/2015 13:23

  On a daily basis, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit a major horizontal resistance in the face of 18160. Even though today and yesterday there have not been any significant economic rele »

Gold looking to settle with new expectations after huge decline

21/07/2015 08:21

Market Overview Greece has managed to use the bridge financing package of €7bn in order to clear its debt with the IMF and also pay off the ECB. Markets have taken on far more of a settled outlo »

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Market sentiment settles as Greek banks re-open

20/07/2015 08:25

Market Overview European markets continue to settle down as the new week has begun in a far calmer sentiment than any of the past few Mondays. Greece will re-open its banks today. The capital control »

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Sentiment is cautious as German lawmakers vote on Greek deal

17/07/2015 08:21

Market Overview With the Greeks (and other Eurozone parliaments) backing the bailout deal, today it falls upon the Bundestag in Germany to accept the deal. It seems as though the pieces are now falli »

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Sentiment takes a shot in the arm as Greek Parliament agrees to bailout conditions

16/07/2015 08:20

Market Overview Market sentiment has taken another boost off the news that the Greek parliament has passed through the proposals necessary for the bailout to go across to other Eurozone parliaments t »

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Sentiment turns cautious as traders eye key data

14/07/2015 08:24

Market Overview Just one day in to the supposed deal for Greece and the markets are a touch more cautious again. There is still much work that needs to be done and in a short space of time. The deal »

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Gold Bears Failed a Daily Close Below the Rising Trendline

09/07/2015 09:18

The precious metal is back trading above the rising trend line, which started back in October 2014, after dipping to as low as $1,146 earlier this week. It is a very significant that the bea »

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Sentiment improves after dovish Fed with Greece to submit its proposal

09/07/2015 08:19

Market Overview By Friday Greece needs to have submitted a proposal to the EU leaders which lays out formal plans for economic reforms, which the leaders can then seriously consider. The Greeks have »

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Exasperation amongst politicians and markets as a final deadline is drawn for Greece

08/07/2015 08:22

Market Overview The disappointment was palpable in the interviews of the respective Eurozone’s leading politicians after Greece turned up to yesterday’s crunch meeting armed with little m »

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Greece’s plight in the hands of the Eurogroup as ECB ramps up the pressure

07/07/2015 08:17

Market Overview Greece voted “No” with 61% but the party could be short lived. Yesterday the ECB decided to maintain the Emergency Liquidity Assistance ceiling at €89bn and instead o »

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Volatility soars with euro under pressure after Greece votes “No”

06/07/2015 08:20

Market Overview With Greece voting with a resounding “No” to the demands of the creditors, the ball has been smashed straight back to the court of the EU, ECB and IMF. A meeting is now du »

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Gold and Silver Snapshot 06 July 2015

06/07/2015 08:09

Gold and Silver testing critical levelsThe yellow metal rose more than 1% on Thursday following the US Non-farm Payroll report, however it came under selling pressure and fell below the $1,170 early M »

Caution takes hold ahead of the Greek referendum

03/07/2015 08:20

Market Overview The attention will turn back towards Greece again with the US taking its Independence Day public holiday. However the market is still digesting what was a rather disappointing Non-far »

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Focus turns to Non-farm Payrolls as the dollar bulls gain confidence

02/07/2015 08:26

Market Overview The constant rumour-mill and drip feed of newsflow over developments in Greece is creating constant intraday fluctuations that are pulling markets all over the place, so let’s j »

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As sentiment settles markets look towards key US data

01/07/2015 08:21

Market Overview Financial markets are beginning to settle down after the significant volatility of earlier in the week. The hard facts are that although the IMF may call it being in “arrears&rd »

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Aussie to Shrug Off Greek Woes?

30/06/2015 17:56

  • Focusing on the AUD/JPY

Will Greece leave the Eurozone? Or will it stay? Will the EUR/USD tumble to parity with the dollar, or will it quickly shake the dust from its feet and begin to rally again as the economic outlook bri »

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Euro volatility continues with Greece set to default

30/06/2015 08:23

Market Overview Today is almost certainly the day that Greece will default on its IMF repayment of €1.6bn. The IMF may not necessarily treat it as an outright default yet as it will still want t »

Market sentiment plummets as Greece edges towards default

29/06/2015 08:26

Market Overview Suffice it to say, we can expect some significant volatility today. A chain of events has played out over the weekend which is now leaving Greece at significant risk of defaulting on »

Yen Vulnerable to Carry Traders

28/06/2015 13:21

Yen Vulnerable to Carry Traders Forex can be described as the financial market that is most vulnerable to the underlying trend.  This ultimately means that rising prices tend to continue rising, »

Tricky market consolidation continues as fx traders await Greek resolution

26/06/2015 08:30

Market Overview Financial markets are taking the uncertainty of the negotiations between Greece and its creditors rather calmly. Despite a very real risk of a default on 30th June, markets have held »

Greece negotiations going down to the wire as sentiment is hit

25/06/2015 08:28

Market Overview It was never going to be easy. When the euphoria of the new proposal for Greece swept the markets higher on Monday it all seemed too good to be true. The DAX and CAC up almost 4% on t »

US dollar strengthening as safe havens falter

23/06/2015 08:24

Market Overview Politicians appear to be more positive than at almost any other time over the past few months that a deal with Greece could be close. There is much that needs to be done (according to »

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Gold and Silver Snapshot!

22/06/2015 08:38

The precious metal received a significant boost following the dovish FOMC statement few days ago and broke some important resistance levels including the $1,180, $1,190 and the psychological level of »

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Focus on Eurozone summit with prospects of Greece deal

22/06/2015 08:29

Market Overview Market sentiment has lifted in the wake of new hope that there is some light at the end of the long dark Greek tunnel. Negotiations with the Eurozone over the years have tended to go »

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Using Fibonacci to Figure the Euro

19/06/2015 12:45

  • Keep it Simple
  • Fibonacci Trajectory
 

Last time I wrote about the euro crisis, it seemed as though the tension and frustration surrounding Greece couldn’t go any higher – but it did. After a marathon of discussions and meeting »

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Volatility surrounding Greece remains significant for market sentiment

19/06/2015 08:24

Market Overview The volatility in markets continues to play out with the negotiations over Greece remaining unresolved and the prospect of a messy default on the IMF debt growing by the day. With ove »

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Markets still reacting to the FOMC ahead of crucial Eurogroup meeting

18/06/2015 08:18

Market Overview Although it seemed as though Janet Yellen played the latest FOMC press conference with a pretty straight bat, the market had not been anticipating a slight dovish change to the projec »

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Commodity Currencies Snapshot NZD, AUD and CAD!

18/06/2015 07:53

AUD and CAD both appreciated against the greenback while the NZD gave back of all its gains made after the FOMC meeting. The NZD dollar is trading lower against the US dollar following 4 consecutive n »

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Forex majors consolidate ahead of the FOMC meeting

17/06/2015 08:41

Market Overview The fixation continues with Greece, but increasingly forex markets have settled into a mode of consolidation in front of what could be a crucial meeting of the Federal Open Market Com »

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15/06/2015: Greece remains a drag as latest talks end in nought

15/06/2015 08:16

Market Overview Market sentiment is once more under pressure into the new week as talks between Greece and its creditors have again failed to come to any resolution. Although the rhetoric from Greek »

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WTI survives another attempt on $61.70 but for how long?

12/06/2015 08:16

The WTI crude oil remains stuck in a range between the key support level of $56.50 and the key barrier of $62.55. Yesterday we saw a break attempt above the suggested target of $61.70 but if failed, h »

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Forex volatility continues as the dollar rebounds amid RNBZ rate cut

11/06/2015 08:24

Market Overview After a few days of respite, Greece burst back on the agenda yesterday with talk of a potential deal being struck. This caused a sharp rally on equity markets which are still volatile »

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USD/JPY bulls are losing control as the pair is back below the 190.70

10/06/2015 08:49

A significant move has seen at Japanese Yen following the better than anticipated data and mainly the BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda speech.  The Governor said that the Japanese Yen is we »

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BoJ intervention finally encourages a turnaround for the yen

10/06/2015 08:21

Market Overview In the wake of last week’s Non-farm Payrolls, Treasury yields continue to move higher but equity markets have continued to stumble The dollar has also hit the buffers a little i »

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US dollar paring recent gains on a day light on announcements

08/06/2015 08:27

Market Overview Financial markets will continue to digest the improvement in the Non-farm Payrolls report on Friday which drove a stronger dollar once more. The report will now stoke up the debate ov »

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Greek payment delay drives a slightly negative sentiment with Payrolls due

05/06/2015 08:19

Market Overview Markets remain incredibly volatile, with huge intraday swings. The bond markets are continuing to drive sentiment across the board and yesterday’s sharp intraday turnaround on t »

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Markets are cautious early on as the deadline for Greece looms

04/06/2015 08:19

Market Overview Yesterday was another absolutely remarkable session, as the Eurozone sovereign bond yields have continued to soar. Helped higher by Mario Draghi’s ECB press conference which sho »

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Euro continues to push higher as Greece mulls over a potential deal

03/06/2015 08:17

Market Overview An incredible day yesterday has completely turned around the near term outlook once more. A whole raft of factors came together to strengthen the euro and weaken the dollar. The prosp »

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WTI muted above $60.00 ahead of OPEC

02/06/2015 09:19

The re-emergence of the buying interest of the greenback has been weighing on the West Texas Intermediate throughout the last 3 trading sessions, as the commodity trades in a quiet mode slightly above »

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Caution taking over trading sentiment with focus on Greece and economic data

02/06/2015 08:42

Market Overview Markets remain cautious/sensitive on Greece, which is moving ever closer to Friday’s deadline for the €300m repayment without a deal in place that would allow the debt to b »

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Sentiment shows early signs of improvement as equities find support

01/06/2015 08:21

Market Overview The pressure is mounting even more this week as Friday’s supposed deadline for Greece to repay €300m to the IMF comes ever closer into view. The problem is that the negotia »

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US dollar rebound begins to run out of steam in front of growth figures

29/05/2015 08:27

Market Overview The mixed signals regarding the prospects of a deal for Greece in the past few days have been difficult to fathom. Greece have been insisting that a deal could done by Sunday, whilst »

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Euro looking to rebound with prospects of a Greece deal improving

28/05/2015 08:29

Market Overview The remarkable on/off saga over the possible deal that seems to be close (or not) between Greece and its creditors has had a significant impact on the markets. The improvement in sent »

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Dollar Trends Remain Bullish

28/05/2015 04:14

Dollar Trends Remain Bullish Many in the forex markets have started to wonder whether the latest trends in the US Dollar have run their course.  There is a good deal of validity that comes with »

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27/05/2015: US dollar retracing recent gains with a light economic calendar due

27/05/2015 08:21

Market Overview Janet Yellen’s perceived to be hawkish comments on Friday seemed to have sharpened the market’s view that any sign of improvement in the US economic data will be one step »

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EUR/CAD 1.3400 and 200-SMA to provide support ahead of BoC

26/05/2015 10:54

The euro has potentially turned even more bearish against the Canadian dollar the last couple of weeks after breaking below the 50-period SMA and the 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. The EUR is str »

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Dollar gathering momentum with breakout against the yen

26/05/2015 08:26

Market Overview With Janet Yellen suggesting that the Fed remains on a fairly steady path towards tightening, the US dollar has just regained the ascendency and is looking to gather momentum again to »

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Markets still struggling for conviction despite slight dollar weakness

22/05/2015 08:17

Market Overview The markets have taken on a mixed outlook in the wake of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. There has been an element of uncertain consolidation which has stopped the dollar recovery in i »

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Markets in consolidation mode after Fed minutes reveal little

21/05/2015 08:30

Market Overview The strength of the dollar in the past few days has had a sizable impact and is changing the outlook on several key markets. However, there has been a muted reaction to the meeting mi »

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GBP/USD recovers ground after bouncing at 1.5450 and the 100-SMA

21/05/2015 08:03

The pound was broadly higher against its G10 counterparts on European session on Wednesday after the BoE minutes were “slightly more hawkish” than expected. After the market caught by surp »

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Euro selling pressure continues, signalling a change in medium term outlook

20/05/2015 08:20

Market Overview There has been a significant change in market tack in the past 24 hours. A whole string of factors have contrived to turn the market back towards the dollar. The dovish comments from »

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Euro may need favourable economic data to prevent the correction from

19/05/2015 08:24

Market Overview There are mixed signals on Greece which are causing market fluctuations currently. Although Greek Prime Minister Tsipras appears confident that a deal could be close, other European s »

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Trading is cautious as falling Treasury yields support the dollar

18/05/2015 08:19

Market Overview With US data continuing to disappoint, the expectations for Fed rate tightening are being pushed back. This is beginning to see a negative drift back on Treasury yields which is resul »

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Where Are The Opportunities In Trading The US Dollar?

17/05/2015 07:15

Where Are The Opportunities In Trading The US Dollar? It is not easy to isolate many assets that have outperformed the US Dollar this year, and this has left many investors wondering whether or not »

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Has the EUR/GBP Bottomed Out?

15/05/2015 11:40

  • The Technicalities of a Bottom

This week, apart from renewed dollar selling and a euro recovery, another trend seems to be emerging – the EUR/GBP seems to have temporarily bottomed. As Mark Carney lowered the growth forecast »

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Settling bond yields giving the dollar some respite from the sellers

15/05/2015 08:37

Market Overview With US Treasury yields calming down their recent rise yesterday (on the back of a further decline in the US Producer Price Index), equities markets were able to regain some upside in »

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US dollar continues to be sold off as bond yields pull higher

14/05/2015 08:23

Market Overview Financial markets continue to be pulled around by movements in the bond markets. Yields moving back higher into the close on Treasuries yesterday push selling pressure into equities a »

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A slew of economic data to drive volatility on forex majors today

13/05/2015 08:26

Market Overview The bond markets are having a big say on the sentiment across other asset classes for the moment. Yesterday’s slight easing of the selling pressure on Treasuries has abated to t »

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A near term bounce on EUR/GBP should provide a chance to sell

12/05/2015 08:30

Market Overview Reports suggest that Greece will be paying the c. €750m repayment that it owes to the IMF today. This comes despite the continued slow progress of the negotiations between Greece »

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Greece back on the agenda as Eurogroup meeting weighs on the euro

11/05/2015 08:15

Market Overview As we move into the new week there are several key conflicting events that are driving sentiment. UK assets have been boosted by the return of a majority Conservative government (prob »

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Swiss Franc Showing Major Double Top

10/05/2015 23:27

Swiss Franc Showing Major Double Top Forex trading is often thought of as an environment best suited for long term investors.  This is arguably because the forex market is governed by macroeco »

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Debt Scenarios Still Weighing on Euro

09/05/2015 01:04

Debt Scenarios Still Weighing on Euro When we hear the words “sovereign debt crisis” it might seem as though we are reading financial news headlines from several years ago.  But when »

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Sterling volatility soars as UK election shows Conservative victory

08/05/2015 08:33

Market Overview It has been an incredible night in UK politics which appears to have resulted in a rather shocking Conservative victory (still running on projections). This has had shockwaves across »

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Can The Yen Turn Around?

08/05/2015 04:15

Can The Yen Turn Around? When we look at the weakest currencies of the year, one of the most obvious selections is the Japanese Yen (JPY).  There are many reasons for why this activity has been »

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Sterling volatility starting to build as UK goes to the polls

07/05/2015 08:21

Market Overview There are significant questions that are being asked of the dollar bulls now as the Dollar Index continues to fall away and major pairs such as EUR/USD have broken out. The concern is »

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US dollar coming under pressure again amid faltering economic data

06/05/2015 08:21

Market Overview A sharp deterioration in the US trade deficit spooked investors in the US yesterday that the strong dollar was beginning to have a significant impact on the US economy and that the di »

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US dollar begins to rebound after the FOMC statement leaves all options open

30/04/2015 08:18

Market Overview Traders will still be trying to catch their breath after a volatile session yesterday driven by key US economic data. The GDP announcement kicked off the key moves with a much weaker »

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US dollar remains weak ahead of the crucial FOMC meeting

29/04/2015 08:21

Market Overview From the reaction on the forex markets in recent days, it would appear as though there is not a great deal of confidence in the Federal Reserve moving further down the road towards mo »

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Mixed outlook on markets as traders begin to position for FOMC

28/04/2015 08:28

Market Overview Markets are becoming increasingly cautious as the key FOMC meeting begins to dominate the thoughts of traders. It is notable this time around though that in the past few trading sessi »

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Sentiment turns weaker after disappointing Chinese flash PMI

23/04/2015 08:20

Market Overview There is an uncertain feel to financial markets at the moment. Earnings season in the US has failed to ignite the bulls on Wall Street, where despite a string of positive corporate nu »

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Dollar bulls failing to get traction with Greece at the forefront

22/04/2015 08:37

Market Overview The euro was boosted yesterday afternoon as news began to filter through that the talks between Greece and the Eurozone were working through the proposals, although  deal may not »

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Forex Trends Continue in 2015

22/04/2015 07:15

Forex Trends Continue in 2015 The forex market has the reputation for being one of the most trend heavy markets in all of the major asset classes.  There is good reason for this, as the underl »

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Dollar bulls beginning to regain some positive traction once again

21/04/2015 08:15

Market Overview It almost seems as though there is a different driving factor for the markets every day at the moment, and yesterday was the turn of China. So what will it be today then? Well, the st »

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Sentiment improves amid further easing measures from China

20/04/2015 08:13

Market Overview Markets come into the new week with mixed messages. The selling pressure that signed off last week has abated slightly and there is an element of support. The negative impact of new r »

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Yen Still Caught in A Range

20/04/2015 07:32

Yen Still Caught in A Range When we look at the last 20 or 30 years in forex trading markets, we can argue that the most trend-specific has been the Japanese Yen.  There is a wide variety of r »

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Can US inflation re-ignite a creaking dollar bull run?

17/04/2015 08:28

Market Overview There is a mixed outlook across financial markets as we approach the key US data release of an interesting week. The general theme of weaker US data throughout this week has negativel »

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Volatility on the data continues as the dollar comes under pressure

16/04/2015 08:19

Market Overview Financial markets have been digesting the strong gains in the oil price in the past couple of days. The move has pushed WTI oil to its highest level of the year and begs a couple of q »

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Mixed sentiment as traders look ahead to the ECB and more US data

15/04/2015 08:20

Market Overview I still see the economic data as extremely important for the direction of the dollar and yesterday’s reaction to the weaker than expected Retail Sales was this case in point. A »

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ECB and BoC to determine EUR/CAD trend direction!

15/04/2015 07:54

Today, two majors Central Banks will share traders’ attention since both of them will release their Monetary Policy reports and their Interest Rates decisions. The forecast is the ECB to keep th »

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US Retail Sales watched as tier one data could be the catalyst for some key breaks today

14/04/2015 08:20

Market Overview With a lack of any significant economic data yesterday, the markets were fairly quiet. However it may have just been the calm before the storm as there is a significant amount of tier »

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Dollar bulls gathering strength once more as China trade data disappoints

13/04/2015 08:15

Market Overview It would still appear as though any back data out of China is able to drive expectation of further monetary stimulus which then supports markets, but for how long this will be the cas »

US dollar looks to consolidate the gains on a quiet end to the week

10/04/2015 08:16

Market Overview Since the FOMC minutes were released on Wednesday, what had been a consolidation is turning back into a trend of dollar strength once more. There have been some key breaks on major fo »

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Dollar bulls gaining traction once more from the slightly hawkish FOMC minutes

09/04/2015 08:21

Market Overview This week has been spent with forex markets consolidating in anticipation of the key event which were the Fed meeting minutes. Whether the minutes can provide some direction for marke »

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08/04/2015: Forex trading becoming increasingly rangebound as markets consolidate

08/04/2015 08:17

Market Overview The outlook across the currency markets has become increasingly one of consolidation. The data dependent trading since the FOMC decision is neutralising many pairs in forex trading an »

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07/04/2015: Markets still looking to settle down after surprise miss on Non-farm Payrolls

07/04/2015 08:19

Market Overview The market is still looking to settle in the wake of a weaker than expected Non-farm Payrolls report (126,000 jobs versus an expectation of 245,000) which put downside pressure back o »

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XAU/USD Weekly Outlook

06/04/2015 05:56

The yellow metal gapped higher over the weekend on the back of a much weaker than expected U.S. employment report. The U.S. economy added 126,000 jobs versus 245,000 expected, falling below the signif »

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Weaker US data has put the dollar bulls under pressure once more

02/04/2015 08:20

Market Overview The dollar certainly had a significant wobble yesterday after the weaker than expected readings on the ADP employment report and also a fifth straight month of decline on the ISM Manu »

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Forex majors consolidating ahead of crucial PMI data

01/04/2015 08:21

Market Overview Market sentiment is under pressure once more as the list of reforms submitted by Greece has been dismissed as little more than ideas rather than a definitive plan. This comes as talks »

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A slow strangling of dollar strength is returning as the flow of data continues

31/03/2015 08:20

Market Overview It was an interesting session yesterday, where market sentiment was positive on the back of talk of further stimulus in Asia and then the US session took positive data (improving Pers »

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XAU/USD drops below $1,190

31/03/2015 07:49

The precious metal moved aggressively lower the last couple of days after finding a strong resistance around the $1,224 level, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. From thereon, t »

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Dollar bulls looking to gain control ahead of huge data releases this week

30/03/2015 08:16

Market Overview The market sentiment is a touch missed going into what could be a crucial week of economic data. Several days of selling pressure were halted on Friday as Janet Yellen made comments t »

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Signs of an improvement once more for the dollar after Fed member’s comments

27/03/2015 08:11

Market Overview The interesting moves in the last 24 hours came in the forex markets yesterday as comments from FOMC member Dennis Lockhart resulted in the dollar strengthening into the afternoon and »

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A decline in risk appetite sees a shift into safer haven plays return

26/03/2015 08:18

Market Overview There was a real sense of concern that took over Wall Street last night that has driven a flight into safer haven plays. As the durable goods orders disappointed there is a fear is th »

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Forex majors continue to consolidate around key tipping points

25/03/2015 08:18

Market Overview In the wake of the FOMC meeting last week, the key US economic data has become particularly in focus with strong US data being strong for the dollar. And this is what we saw playing o »

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US inflation data could be pivotal with forex pairs approaching key crossroads

24/03/2015 08:19

Market Overview There were some interesting moves on forex markets yesterday which suggest there could be something sustainable building in this move away from the dollar. There are some key markets »

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Forex volatility remains elevated as a data dependent market looks to US housing

23/03/2015 08:14

Market Overview The EU leaders summit at the end of last week was the latest chance for Greece to provide clarity on its progress towards meeting the measures set out as part of its bailout extension »

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20/03/2015: Markets still settling down with the next trends yet to develop

20/03/2015 08:19

Market Overview There has been an incredibly volatile reaction across forex markets in the wake of the FOMC meeting. Much of the initial sharp selling pressure against the dollar has been retraced an »

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Markets remain volatile as the dollar looks to rebound after dovish FOMC shock

19/03/2015 08:15

Market Overview The market has been anticipating this meeting by the Federal Reserve for a few days, with the uncertainty driving a consolidation. Traders were right to be cautious as the volatility »

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Whether the FOMC remains “patient” is crucial to the near term dollar outlook

18/03/2015 08:25

Market Overview Forex markets have settled down as we run up to the announcement by the Federal Reserve on its latest monetary policy. The dollar strength seen over the recent weeks would suggest the »

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Slight dollar correction taking the shine off the bull run as market prepares for the FOMC

17/03/2015 08:15

Market Overview The forex markets seem to be increasingly forming a consolidation in front of a significantly important meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in the next couple of days. The ou »

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Dollar weakness still looks a chance to buy in front of the FOMC

16/03/2015 08:27

Market Overview Financial markets continued to trade on the dollar strength story on Friday. This is a story that is likely to dominate decision making in front of this week’s FOMC meeting. Wit »

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Dollar bulls fighting back after a rare off-day

13/03/2015 08:15

Market Overview Markets are incredible examples of pack mentality. Take Wall Street for example. A weak Retail Sales number yesterday has now got everyone questioning the potential for the removal of »

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Dollar up slightly vs NOK as investors await Norges Bank meeting

12/03/2015 09:16

USD/NOK is looking bullish at the moment as is trading above the psychological level of 7.8600. It’s remarkable that for the last three weeks the USD added 7000 pips to its value against the NOK »

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Signs of profit taking on the US dollar but will it last?

12/03/2015 08:20

Market Overview The dollar movement remains the big story that is driving financial markets. Markets do not tend to like it when sharp moves are made in major markets (see the reaction to the sharp o »

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Euro remains under pressure whilst sterling continues to build on support

11/03/2015 08:19

Market Overview The strength of the dollar has become the major factor in these markets. This is through a double whammy effect which is coming from the selling pressure on the euro and the move to p »

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USD/CAD struggles at 1.2700

11/03/2015 07:55

Last week, the USD/CAD pair broke above its symmetrical triangle formation and moved higher, reaching the psychological level of 1.2700. The pair is looking bullish at the moment as the price managed »

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Dollar bulls quickly back in control as equities look to settle

10/03/2015 08:34

Market Overview After a day of reflection with little economic data to worry about, markets have begun to calm down a bit from the impact of the Non-farm Payrolls report. However it seems as though t »

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Don’t expect a hangover for the dollar to last for long

09/03/2015 08:20

Market Overview There is a sense of a slight hangover for the dollar on Monday morning after the Non-farm Payrolls report induced such a strong run on Friday. It is interesting to see the euro, Cable »

Markets pause for breath in front of crucial Non-farm Payrolls

06/03/2015 08:16

Market Overview It is Non-farm Payrolls Friday and the markets are taking a pause for breath. However this pause may be just as much related to a rather volatile afternoon yesterday with Mario Draghi »

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Euro under pressure as markets look towards the ECB

05/03/2015 08:15

Market Overview Markets have been a bit choppy as we have moved ever close towards the important end of the week which contains the key Non-farm Payrolls report. Overnight there was some negative new »

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Markets looking to settle in front of the key Payrolls data on Friday

04/03/2015 08:13

Market Overview As we edge ever closer to the crucial data of the week (Non-farm Payrolls), markets are a little on edge. Yesterday’s declines certainly showed that despite the lack of negative »

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RBA stands pat sending the Aussie dollar higher

03/03/2015 08:30

Market Overview We saw an odd reaction yesterday as Wall Street and the dollar pushed higher on weaker than expected US data. This shows that there is a growing acceptance of the Fed hiking rates thi »

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US dollar on the brink of a new breakout as markets wait for the PMIs

02/03/2015 08:18

Market Overview The first week of the month is always key. Jam-packed with crucial tier one forward looking data, the direction can be extremely important. China has kicked off proceedings with a hat »

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Dollar bulls giving back some of yesterday’s gains ahead of Preliminary GDP

27/02/2015 08:13

Market Overview The dollar bulls are once again looking to have re-established their control on proceedings. US inflation may have dropped by 0.1% but with core prices still positive, along with stro »

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Spain's IBEX 35 coming strong above 10,930!

26/02/2015 08:17

The IBEX 35 is the benchmark stock market index of the Bolsa De Madrid, Spain’s principal stock exchange. Spain’s IBEX 35 index jumped 0.68% during yesterday session, marking its fifth wee »

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Can Janet Yellen finally give the forex markets some direction?

24/02/2015 08:26

Market Overview Greece may well have made an agreement of a 4 month bailout extension on Friday, but it still needs to submit detail of economic reform proposals. Apparently some reforms have been ou »

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Much still to be agreed with the Eurogroup as forex markets remain uncertain

23/02/2015 08:33

Market Overview Finally the European politicians have averted a Greek default, but only for now, and only possibly. Friday’s evening’s agreement for a four month extension to the bailout »

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All eyes once more on the Eurogroup with Greece running out of time

20/02/2015 08:20

Market Overview So we move to a third Eurogroup meeting of the Eurozone finance ministers in an attempt to finally come to an agreement with Greece over how to deal with the end of its bailout progra »

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Slightly dovish FOMC minutes sustain the prospect of a dollar correction

19/02/2015 08:15

Market Overview The announcement of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes took the markets a little by surprise. Following on from a slightly hawkish lean in the FOMC statement, the minutes were still »

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USD/JPY Ready for a Breakout after Failed Attempt

18/02/2015 14:17

The USD/JPY pair has been trading in a symmetrical triangle formation throughout the first few months of the year. However, the pair has broken out for a second time of this pattern and thus brings wi »

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Equities looking to breakout on prospect of a deal for Greece although forex markets remain cautious

18/02/2015 08:23

Market Overview Market sentiment has picked up as it looks as though the Greek finance minister is ready to cede ground and move towards an agreement on an extension to the bailout. I suppose it is a »

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Positivity is waning as a deterioration in Greece and Ukraine geopolitics weighs on sentiment

17/02/2015 08:24

Market Overview It would appear as though the two fundamental factors that helped to improve market sentiment towards the end of last week are unravelling quickly. The ceasefire in Ukraine seems to n »

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Trading could be slow with the US public holiday and markets awaiting the Eurogroup

16/02/2015 08:20

Market Overview It is round two of the bout between Greece and its major creditor, the EU, today as the Eurogroup meeting again convenes to try to thrash out some sort of deal that would be agreeable »

Ceasefire in eastern Ukraine boosting sentiment but for how long?

13/02/2015 08:18

Market Overview Trading sentiment has improved significantly in the past 24 hours. The ceasefire that has been struck between Putin and Poroshenko has given investors cause for optimism. However, I r »

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Markets remain in consolidation mode as the Greeks stand firm

12/02/2015 08:15

Market Overview So after six hours of talks with the Eurogroup of EU finance ministers, Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis was unable to come to an agreement over the repayment of it debt. The s »

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All eyes on the Eurogroup to bring an end to the consolidation

11/02/2015 08:28

Market Overview Today we have the meeting of the Eurogroup of EU finance ministers who will be discussing how to deal with the problem of the bailout loan made to Greece that is due for repayment on »

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US dollar bulls are still unable to grasp the initiative as ranges continue

10/02/2015 08:16

Market Overview The trading outlook is mixed this morning, with uncertainty over a number of issues. The fact that President Obama has failed to rule out the US arming Ukrainian forces is a concern a »

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Focus on Greece and weak Chinese trade on a day bereft of data

09/02/2015 08:14

Market Overview The strong Non-farm Payrolls report changed the sentiment considerably on Friday. It resulted in a sizeable move away from safe haven plays such as the yen and gold, to the benefit of »

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A strong payrolls report could be needed to prevent a dollar correction

06/02/2015 08:07

Market Overview Although the charismatic German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has said that he will “agree to disagree” with Yanis Varoufakis over the matter of Greece’s reneg »

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The ECB cranks up the pressure on Greece but harms market sentiment

05/02/2015 08:30

Market Overview Newsflow regarding the renegotiation of Greece’s debt obligations had been fairly favourable in recent days. That is until the ECB fired what looks to be a rather an interesting »

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Improved market sentiment with forex majors and equities supported

04/02/2015 08:22

Market Overview Risk appetite has rebounded significantly in the past few days but what are the drivers. The rally (or should that be short squeeze) in the oil price continues, with WTI now up over 1 »

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EUR/RUB unable to hold above 79.0000!

03/02/2015 10:02

The euro is struggling to hold above the psychological level of 78.9380 against the ruble after several failed attempts over the last week. However, the EUR/RUB pair remains in a clearly defined uptre »

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RBA rate cut adds to pressure on major commodity currencies

03/02/2015 08:19

Market Overview Market sentiment continues to be guided to a certain extent by the price of oil. In the past couple of trading days the oil price has shot higher as it has looked as though there is f »

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PMIs to drive sentiment after Chinese data slightly disappoints

02/02/2015 08:32

Market Overview The new week has begun with market sentiment starting slightly on the back foot today. The HSBC Chinese manufacturing PMI came in a touch below expectation at 49.7 (49.8 had been fore »

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The euro remains steady in front of crucial inflation and US growth data

30/01/2015 08:18

Market Overview With currency pairs still unsure of how to digest the latest instalment of Federal Reserve monetary policy, the equity markets have made a useful rebound. After weekly jobless claims »

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AUDUSD & USDCAD Intraday: Elliott Wave Analysis

29/01/2015 12:23

USD is mixed today, up against commodity currencies but sideways or even down against EUR and GBP. On AUDUSD we can see a nice strong decline from the past few sessions which should be an impulsive p »

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Forex majors lack direction despite a hawkish lean from the FOMC

29/01/2015 08:23

Market Overview The announcement of statement from the Federal Reserve suggests that the US remains last man standing in terms of its path towards rate tightening. However the reaction of the market »

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All eyes on the wording of the FOMC statement to drive the dollar

28/01/2015 08:11

Market Overview There has been a strong reversal of sentiment in the past 24 hours. Equities have sharply fallen whilst the dollar has come under some corrective pressure. It will be interesting to s »

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Retracements on forex majors and precious threaten although Eurozone equities remain strong

27/01/2015 08:21

Market Overview The election of the anti-austerity Syriza party in Greece has failed to dampen the spirits of investors still rising on the ECB’s QE wave. Sentiment does not appear to have been »

Euro holding up well after Syriza’s victory in Greece puts the pressure back on major markets

26/01/2015 08:15

Market Overview After the “positivity” over the actions of the ECB last week, news from Greece over the weekend that the anti-austerity Syriza party has won the election has caused some M »

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With Greek elections on Sunday volatility on European markets is set to remain

23/01/2015 08:20

Market Overview Mario Draghi has fired his bazooka and the markets have taken the news well. The euro is lower, sovereign bond yields are lower and equities are higher. A €60bn per month program »

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Traders waiting for Mario to finally fire the big bazooka

22/01/2015 08:19

Market Overview So we come to what could be one of the most crucial days for the euro in years. This is expected the day that Mario Draghi announces a package of QE that will significantly increase t »

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Trading remains volatile as markets begin to look ahead to the ECB

21/01/2015 08:16

Market Overview Although in some ways market will now be positioning themselves for what could be a historic announcement from the ECB on Thursday, there is still a level of volatility that continues »

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XAG/USD: The target is 18.75!

20/01/2015 08:07

The white metal is looking a little bullish the last couple of weeks after rebounding strongly from the 14.40 – 14.50 zone. If we see a close above the psychological level of 18.00, previous lev »

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Inflation data will give forex traders little chance for respite

16/01/2015 08:27

Market Overview If you work in the forex markets, yesterday was a truly stunning day. Volatility and moves almost unimaginable were seen on the Swiss franc after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) finally »

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Investor sentiment improves as oil finds some support

15/01/2015 08:14

Market Overview Risk appetite has made a welcome return in the past 12 hours and as per usual it has come as the oil price has managed to form a near term low. Exactly how long this respite lasts for »

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USD/JPY under correction phase; failure swing formation

14/01/2015 08:29

  The USD/JPY pair plunged the last couple of days confirming the weakness in momentum, following a good run over the last few months. The Relative Strength Index fell below 50 and is moving dow »

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Volatility and weak oil continues to dampen sentiment as ECJ judgement looms

14/01/2015 08:20

Market Overview Volatility remains high on global financial markets and this means that traders and investors are getting thrown around on a daily basis. The commodity story is a major cause for conc »

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Flight back into safe havens is showing through as oil continues to slide

13/01/2015 08:20

Market Overview The oil price has been a big driver of investor sentiment in recent weeks and as the price once more slides through support the impact has been to drive traders towards safer haven pl »

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Microsoft: Bulls are losing control once more near $49.00

13/01/2015 07:14

Over the last couple of weeks Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Corporation’s share price rose significantly after rebounding from two key support levels, the $44.85 and most recently from the $45.45 leve »

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Non-farm Payrolls hangover shows no signs of shifting yet for the dollar

12/01/2015 08:22

Market Overview Whilst the headline figure for the Non-farm Payrolls report remained strong the devil was in the detail of the 0.2% decline in average hourly earnings. This shows that the Fed still h »

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Forex majors consolidate ahead of crucial Non-farm Payrolls release

09/01/2015 08:22

Market Overview After an incredible rally across global equity markets yesterday there is an element of calm that has formed. However do not expect this to last as it is Non-farm Payrolls Friday, tra »

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GBP/USD remains weak; bears eye 1.5000, 1.4825, 1.4750 and then 1.4500!

08/01/2015 09:09

The British pound has fallen for a sixth consecutive month against the dollar retreating from a 5 year-high. Turning on the weekly timeframe, the bulls failed to hold the price above the psychological »

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Risk sentiment improves as oil looks to build near term support

08/01/2015 08:21

Market Overview Investor sentiment has shown signs of improvement in the past 24 hours. The flows into safe haven assets are beginning to reverse with the gold price and the yen weakening and Treasur »

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Although the Eurozone could move into deflation, sentiment is showing signs of improvement

07/01/2015 08:28

Market Overview Despite an element of support yesterday in European equities, investors continued to prefer safer haven plays with sovereign bonds, gold and the Japanese yen more favoured. With Wall »

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Focus is again on the falling oil price which is driving safe haven flows

06/01/2015 08:17

Market Overview Over the past couple of months, a falling oil price has driven a flight into safe haven assets. This comes as volatility spikes and traders prefer the protection given by Treasuries, »

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XAU/USD could extend gains soon!

05/01/2015 11:06

The precious metal has been trading within a broadening formation over the last couple of months or so, following a strong start to 2015. It is very significant that the bulls managed to maintain the »

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Euro breaks below crucial $1.2000 floor as Grexit fears take hold

05/01/2015 08:30

Market Overview A new year but the markets are still beset by the same old issues. Will Greece leave the Eurozone? Will the ECB pull the trigger on full blown quantitative easing? When will the US ti »

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EUR/USD Bears Eye 1.2100 and then 1.2050!

30/12/2014 06:56

The EUR/USD pair looks set to continue its push lower, following some consolidation over the last few trading sessions, roughly around the 1.2150 area. The fact that the price failed to break above th »

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GBP/CHF Bulls under pressure!

23/12/2014 13:46

The British pound moved aggressively lower versus the Swiss Franc the last couple of days after finding a strong resistance at the 1.5400 level, which includes the upper boundary of channel. From ther »

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Support for oil keeping sentiment positive in the run up to Christmas

22/12/2014 08:36

Market Overview Market volatility has just begun to calm down a little after last week’s hectic trading. The markets on Wall Street closed a positive week with slight gains on Friday and with t »

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Sentiment remains upbeat as dollar pairs are back on the brink

19/12/2014 08:26

Market Overview With signs of some stabilisation in the price of oil and the continued reassurance of the Federal Reserve, sentiment on the markets has changed significantly in the past few days. Jan »

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Yellen and the Fed settle the nerves to improve sentiment once more

18/12/2014 08:23

Market Overview Three factors have combined to improve the outlook on financial markets in the past 24 hours. First of all the oil price has finally found some support. Whether it turns out to be the »

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USD/CHF above 0.9800 after SNB introduces negative rates

18/12/2014 08:04

The Swiss Franc plunged -1.17% versus the dollar after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) unexpectedly dropped interest rates into negative territory at -0.25%. The USD/CHF pair surged above the 0.968 »

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Volatility remains high as the market looks towards the Fed

17/12/2014 08:22

Market Overview Market volatility remains elevated as Wall Street sold off into the close having been initially strongly higher, the S&P 500 closed sharply lower again for a 6th down day out of the p »

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Oil prices continue to fall and traders prepare for a raft of data

16/12/2014 08:20

Market Overview Market sentiment continues to be thrown around with the movement in the oil price. Yesterday’s eventual sell-off on equity markets again can as oil reversed earlier gains to clo »

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Abe’s re-election does little to support the markets

15/12/2014 08:22

Market Overview Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe put his neck on the line and has survived with a renewed mandate to implement Abenomics. However the market reaction has not been especially favoura »

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EUR/USD struggles at the 1.2500 level

15/12/2014 07:57

The EUR/USD pair pushed above the descending trend line, which started back in October 2014, bringing further ratification of the bearish outlook seen in the recent months. However, it seems that the »

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Sentiment back under pressure as Chinese data again disappoints

12/12/2014 08:19

Market Overview In the past few days, markets have given a few signals of concern and change. The weakness in equities has been clear, but yesterday’s failure for Wall Street to hold on to earl »

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